Democrats have been already heading within the path of constructing the midterms a alternative between governance that saves lives and governance that dooms constituents. However Newsom’s victory appears to have crystalized the technique. Newsom ran on an unapologetically aggressive pro-vaccine, pro-mask, pro-mitigation marketing campaign, repeatedly warning that the election was “a matter of life and death” and his GOP challenger Larry Elder would “stroll us off that very same COVID cliff as Texas and Florida, Tennessee and Alabama and Georgia.”
As the primary governor to order a statewide lockdown, to difficulty vaccine mandates for lecturers, and to require proof of vaccination for giant indoor occasions, Newsom wrapped himself in the very insurance policies that helped gas the Republican recall effort, and it paid off.
As of Friday evening, Newsom had rallied nearly two-thirds of voters (64%) to his facet with greater than 80% of the vote counted.
Newsom’s aggressive mitigation efforts and the scary prospect of Elder’s promise to repeal them earlier than having his “first cup of tea” within the governor’s mansion not solely fired up the Democratic base, it gained over vaccinated independents.
Newsom’s pollster David Binder tweeted that their polling discovered 67% of vaccinated independents voted “no” on the recall. Newsom misplaced 90% of unvaccinated independents however, as Binder famous, “the overwhelming majority of independents who voted within the California recall have been vaccinated.”
It is smart that vaccinated independents (and Democrats!) would really feel motivated to get to the polls beneath life-and-death circumstances and largely solid their poll in favor of residing. And whereas California is an overwhelmingly Democratic state, the notion that Newsom gained roughly two-thirds of vaccinated independents bodes effectively for Democrats as way more independents are vaccinated. Based on Civiqs monitoring, about two-thirds of independents nationwide report being vaccinated, whereas round 1 / 4 say they don’t plan on getting the jab.
What the GOP’s historic recall defeat proved is that simply because the pro-pandemic crowd is the loudest and most menacing, they are not a majority, they usually do not dictate the end result of an election.
Newsom’s recommendation to Democrats going ahead is to “lean in” to insurance policies to regulate the pandemic regardless of the vocal blowback, as a result of the silent majority is with Democrats’ life-saving efforts and GOP pro-plague insurance policies scare the bejesus out of them.
“Look, I used to be recalled in no small half because of my method to this pandemic,” Newsom stated in an interview with CBS News. “So what I’m saying right here is, be affirmative. Don’t be timid. Lean in. As a result of on the finish of the day, it’s not simply concerning the formal authority of setting the tone and tenor on vaccines and masks, but it surely’s the ethical authority that now we have. That we’re on the appropriate facet of historical past and we’re doing the appropriate factor to save lots of individuals’s lives.”
So whereas Florida’s GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis is holding anti-vaccine rallies and amplifying vaccine conspiracy theories, Democrats should use “every lever possible” to “defend extra individuals, to save lots of extra lives,” as White Home press secretary Jen Psaki promised the White Home would proceed doing this week.
“If 2020 was about Trump and never-Trump, 2022 could also be about vaccinated and by no means vaccinated,” Democratic strategist Jesse Ferguson told The Washington Post. “Each in polling and in focus teams, I believe there was a bunch of knowledge factors that present the anger on the alternative made by the unvaccinated.”
Removed from being a part of the answer to the pandemic, Republicans proceed to double down on selling insurance policies which can be each misinformed and deadly. If Democrats diligently pound that time house, the midterms will likely be a referendum on the perimeter GOP politics chargeable for killing a whole lot of hundreds of People.